Yes. Thank you, Chair. Just let me say something about the wildfires, actually, first. We've had a series of very severe wildfires across Wales, and south Wales in particular, actually. So, I just wanted to say two things, and first of all to just pay tribute to the firefighters and Natural Resources Wales staff who have been absolutely flat out tirelessly working to contain the fires. There will be an investigation as to whether they were spontaneous or whether they were deliberately set. Unfortunately, it looks like some of them, at least, were deliberately set, so we will continue our education campaign.
And secondly, to say that we will now have to, obviously, replace and replant all of that, as well as what we were trying to do. In particular on the Rhigos, it's particularly heartbreaking because a large number of the hectares that are burnt beyond redemption there were new trees just coming into full growth. So, it's absolutely heartbreaking, I have to say, but I did want to just pay tribute to the staff who have absolutely been phenomenal in their response to try and contain the fires, and have been successful in putting them out. So, I just wanted to start from there.
Yes, just in terms of the report then, I met with the Climate Change Committee when they met here in Wales not long before the publication of the report, so the report is not a particular surprise to us. We had a very full and frank discussion with the Climate Change Committee. I think that we've been very clear about the difficulty of the pathway ahead for Wales. Just in this committee alone there have been lots of evidence sessions where I’m saying that we have met our first carbon budget, we’re on track for our second carbon budget, we’ve complied with the Climate Change Committee’s requests for what the second carbon budget should be, but that we will need to do nearly twice as much in the next 10 years as we’ve done in the last 30. I’ve said that repeatedly. That is not just a casual, throwaway remark, it’s an acknowledgement that we’re off where we need to be. We’re okay 'for now’, but we need to accelerate very significantly over the next seven years to 2030.
We’ve done a number of things to try and accelerate that. Net Zero Wales is one. We’ve only very recently published Net Zero Wales. It has a whole raft of policies and proposals and pledges for action. One of the things this report very much highlights is that we can’t do this alone. Policy alone will not do this. We need implementation on the ground. So, as we always do, we try to get a team Wales approach going with everyone involved in where we’re trying to get to. At the moment it looks to us—. I should say, to start off with, Chair, that we have not interrogated all of the data that goes behind this report. So there are bits of it that we’re a little bit baffled by, and until we get into the data we won’t understand quite how they’ve got to where they are, and I’m sure we’ll come on to bits of that later on. But our current modelling shows that we will outperform carbon budget 2 and get to 44 per cent in this time period, but that we will then very seriously struggle to get to carbon budget 3 unless we put things in train in the next two years that will accelerate progress. So, that’s our modelling, and we’ll have to compare it to the modelling in here to just see what the various bits are.
I hope this committee will play its part in relaying its feelings about this to the UK for the progress report that they are about to do, which we all contribute to, so that we understand the severity of the need for change in order to get to where we want to be. And unfortunately, the committee’s just a little ahead of us because next week I’m going to get our latest emissions data, so that will be the first real time that we have to see whether our projections for the data are actually accurate. Obviously, as soon as we get those and I’ve managed to have a look at them, we’re happy to report back to the committee, and indeed I’ll probably do a statement in the Senedd about it. So we’re in the process of just having a first, hard check, if you like, about where we are with the data.
The other thing to say is that, of course, this has all been affected by the pandemic. The carbon data for the pandemic is extraordinary, as you’d all expect. Transport emissions fall, nobody went anywhere, so the air cleaned up. If that wasn’t an example of what human beings are doing to the planet, I don’t know what is. It was obvious, and more obvious in other parts of the world than here, but here it was obvious, too. But of course, that affects our data. For that year, or year and a half, there’s going to be a blip in the data going forward that we’ll have to have a look at.
We’ve got to get past the idea that we can all sign up to these goals and then baulk at the various things that we need to do to get there. You’ll have heard me saying in the Senedd on a number of occasions that it’s all very well to say we’ve signed up to this, but pretty much everything we put forward has somebody saying they don’t want to do that bit. And that’s not going to work. So we’re all going to have to change, we’re all going to have to do things differently, and that’s every single sector across Wales, not just the Government, because otherwise we can’t do it. I can’t do it on my own. So, I think if this isn’t a wake-up call for everyone, then I don’t know what is, really.