Open SeneddEnglish

Cyllideb Cymru

O ble mae arian Llywodraeth Cymru'n dod, ar beth mae'n ei wario, a sut mae hynny wedi newid.

Yn 2026-27 mae Llywodraeth Cymru'n bwriadu gwario £27.2bn ar wasanaethau cyhoeddus a buddsoddi yng Nghymru. O ystyried prisiau'n codi, mae hynny 9% yn fwy nag yn 2022-23.

O ble mae'r arian yn dod

Daw tua phedair rhan o bump o'r arian gan Lywodraeth y DU fel un grant, sef y grant bloc. Daw'r gweddill o drethi a delir yng Nghymru ac ychydig o fenthyca.

  • Grant bloc Llywodraeth y DU: gwariant o ddydd i ddydd£18.5bn

    67%

    Arian a godir drwy drethi ledled y DU ac a roddir i Gymru. Mae'n talu am redeg gwasanaethau: staff, grantiau, cyflenwadau.

  • Grant bloc Llywodraeth y DU: buddsoddi£3.6bn

    13%

    Ar gyfer pethau sy'n para, fel ysbytai, ysgolion, ffyrdd a chartrefi, ac ar gyfer benthyciadau i fusnesau.

  • Cyfraddau treth incwm Cymru£4bn

    14%

    Rhan o'r dreth incwm y mae pobl yng Nghymru'n ei thalu. Mae'r Senedd yn pennu cyfraddau Cymru ac mae CThEF yn casglu'r dreth.

  • Ardrethi busnes£1.1bn

    4%

    Yn cael eu talu ar siopau, swyddfeydd, ffatrïoedd ac eiddo busnes arall. Mae'r arian yn mynd i gynghorau.

  • Treth trafodiadau tir£399m

    1%

    Yn cael ei thalu wrth brynu eiddo neu dir yng Nghymru dros bris penodol. Awdurdod Cyllid Cymru sy'n ei chasglu.

  • Treth gwarediadau tirlenwi£37m

    0.1%

    Treth ar wastraff sy'n mynd i safleoedd tirlenwi, i annog llai o wastraff. Awdurdod Cyllid Cymru sy'n ei chasglu.

  • Benthyca£150m

    0.5%

    Ar gyfer buddsoddi yn unig. Dyma fenthyca newydd llai ad-daliadau eleni; mae'r Llywodraeth yn ddyledus £700m i gyd ac yn talu £24m y flwyddyn mewn llog.

  • Eitemau cyfrifyddu£2.9bn

    Symiau y mae'n rhaid i'r gyllideb eu cynnwys ond nad ydyn nhw'n arian i'w wario, fel traul adeiladau ac offer, a gwerth benthyciadau myfyrwyr.

Cyfanswm, gan gynnwys eitemau cyfrifyddu: £30.7bn

Sut mae Llywodraeth y DU yn penderfynu cyfran Cymru

Mae'r grant bloc yn cael ei gyfrifo'n bennaf gan reol o'r enw fformiwla Barnett. Nid yw'n pennu'r grant cyfan o'r dechrau. Dim ond ei newid y mae: pan fydd Llywodraeth y DU yn newid yr hyn y mae'n ei wario ar wasanaethau yn Lloegr y mae Llywodraeth Cymru'n eu rhedeg yng Nghymru, fel iechyd neu ysgolion, mae Cymru'n cael cyfran o'r newid.

Mae'r gyfran honno'n dibynnu ar dri pheth wedi'u lluosi â'i gilydd: faint newidiodd gwariant Llywodraeth y DU, i ba raddau mae'r gwariant hwnnw ar wasanaethau y mae Llywodraeth Cymru'n eu rhedeg, a phoblogaeth Cymru o'i chymharu â Lloegr (neu Gymru a Lloegr, neu Brydain Fawr, yn dibynnu ar y gwasanaeth).

Gan fod anghenion yn uwch yng Nghymru, mae cytundeb rhwng y ddwy lywodraeth, sef y fframwaith cyllidol, yn ychwanegu at gyfran Cymru. Tra bo'r cyllid y pen yng Nghymru'n aros dros 115% o'r lefel gymharol yn Lloegr, mae 5% yn cael ei ychwanegu at gyfran Cymru o bob newid. Os yw'n disgyn i'r lefel honno, mae'r ychwanegiad yn dod yn 15%.

Pan gafodd trethi eu datganoli, cafodd y grant bloc ei leihau o'r swm yr oedd y trethi hynny'n ei godi yng Nghymru ar y pryd. Mae Cymru bellach yn cadw'r hyn y mae ei threthi ei hun yn ei godi. Os yw'r trethi hynny'n tyfu'n gyflymach y pen yng Nghymru na threthi cyfatebol y DU, mae Cymru ar ei hennill; os ydyn nhw'n tyfu'n arafach, mae Cymru ar ei cholled.

Unwaith y bydd y grant wedi'i bennu, Llywodraeth Cymru sy'n penderfynu sut i'w wario ac ar beth. Mae'n rhaid i'r Senedd gymeradwyo'r gyllideb.

I ble mae'r arian yn mynd yn 2026-27

Fesul adran o Lywodraeth Cymru, ar gyfer gwariant o ddydd i ddydd a buddsoddi gyda'i gilydd. Mae'r newidiadau o gyllideb derfynol 2025-26.

AdranCyllidebCyfranNewidAr ôl chwyddiant
Addysg£2.5bn9%+3.8%+1.7%
Trafnidiaeth£1.5bn5%+5.4%+3.3%
Cyfiawnder Cymdeithasol£163m1%+2.6%+0.6%
Iechyd a Gofal Cymdeithasol£13.6bn50%+4.9%+2.8%
Yr Economi, Ynni a Chynllunio£873m3%+3.7%+1.6%
Tai a Llywodraeth Leol£7.2bn26%+6.4%+4.3%
Newid Hinsawdd a Materion Gwledig£950m3%+3.5%+1.5%
Gwasanaethau Canolog a Gweinyddu£493m2%+7.2%+5.1%
Cyfanswm£27.2bn+5.2%+3.1%

Mae'r rhan fwyaf o'r arian i ysgolion yn eu cyrraedd drwy grant cyffredinol cynghorau, felly mae'n cyfrif o dan Dai a Llywodraeth Leol. Y llinell Addysg yw'r hyn y mae'r Llywodraeth yn ei wario'n uniongyrchol, gan gynnwys ar addysg bellach ac uwch.

Sut mae gwariant wedi newid ers 2022-23

Fesul pwnc, o ystyried prisiau'n codi (ym mhrisiau 2025-26). Mae adrannau'n cael eu had-drefnu pan fydd portffolios gweinidogion yn newid, felly mae gwariant wedi'i grwpio yma yn ôl yr hyn y mae'n talu amdano, gan ddefnyddio'r rhaglenni o dan bob adran.

Pwnc2022-232026-27Ar ôl chwyddiantCyfran o'r gyllideb2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26, 2026-27
Y GIG ac iechyd£11.1bn£12.7bn+14.4%45.4% → 47.6%2022-23: £11.1bn2023-24: £11bn2024-25: £11.6bn2025-26: £12.3bn2026-27: £12.7bn
Cyllid cyffredinol cynghorau£5.2bn£5.8bn+10.4%21.3% → 21.5%2022-23: £5.2bn2023-24: £5.4bn2024-25: £5.2bn2025-26: £5.5bn2026-27: £5.8bn
Colegau, prifysgolion a sgiliau£2.1bn£1.7bn−19.4%8.5% → 6.3%2022-23: £2.1bn2023-24: £2.1bn2024-25: £1.9bn2025-26: £1.7bn2026-27: £1.7bn
Trafnidiaeth£1.6bn£1.5bn−7.6%6.5% → 5.5%2022-23: £1.6bn2023-24: £1.4bn2024-25: £1.3bn2025-26: £1.4bn2026-27: £1.5bn
Tai a digartrefedd£1.1bn£1.3bn+18.0%4.5% → 4.8%2022-23: £1.1bn2023-24: £1.2bn2024-25: £1.1bn2025-26: £1.3bn2026-27: £1.3bn
Ysgolion (gwariant uniongyrchol)£1.1bn£1.1bn+1.7%4.3% → 4.0%2022-23: £1.1bn2023-24: £1bn2024-25: £1bn2025-26: £1bn2026-27: £1.1bn
Yr amgylchedd, ffermio a materion gwledig£873m£957m+9.7%3.6% → 3.6%2022-23: £873m2023-24: £941m2024-25: £872m2025-26: £944m2026-27: £957m
Gofal cymdeithasol a phlant£437m£594m+36.0%1.8% → 2.2%2022-23: £437m2023-24: £602m2024-25: £584m2025-26: £608m2026-27: £594m
Rhedeg y llywodraeth£433m£445m+2.8%1.8% → 1.7%2022-23: £433m2023-24: £426m2024-25: £386m2025-26: £422m2026-27: £445m
Yr economi a busnes£124m£359m+188.9%0.5% → 1.3%2022-23: £124m2023-24: £127m2024-25: £128m2025-26: £361m2026-27: £359m
Diwylliant, chwaraeon a'r Gymraeg£218m£246m+13.1%0.9% → 0.9%2022-23: £218m2023-24: £223m2024-25: £208m2025-26: £236m2026-27: £246m
Cymunedau a chydraddoldeb£251m£147m−41.6%1.0% → 0.5%2022-23: £251m2023-24: £147m2024-25: £131m2025-26: £146m2026-27: £147m

Beth sydd ym mhob pwnc

Llinellau rhaglen y Llywodraeth ei hun, ym mhrisiau 2025-26. Fel arfer, mae llinell sy'n dechrau neu'n dod i ben hanner ffordd wedi cael ei hailenwi, ei chyfuno neu ei symud; mae newidiadau mawr mewn pynciau bach yn aml yn arian sy'n symud rhwng llinellau. Er enghraifft, mae gan Fargeinion Dinesig a Thwf eu llinell eu hunain o 2025-26, a daethpwyd ag addysg ôl-16 ynghyd fel Addysg Drydyddol.

Y GIG ac iechyd
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Delivery of Core NHS Services£10.7bn£10.6bn£11.2bn£11.9bn£12.3bn
Delivery of Targeted NHS Services£103m£142m£109m£121m£119m
Support Mental Health Policies and Legislation£100m£95m£85m£55m£35m
Deliver the Substance Misuse Strategy Implementation£38m£54m£52m£50m£49m
Develop and Implement R&D for Patient and Public Benefit£48m£50m£48m£48m£48m
Public Health Programmes£22m£23m£21m£41m£43m
Support Education and Training of the NHS Workforce£31m£34m£34m£42m£29m
Health Improvement£11m£16m£11m£6m£6m
Effective Health Emergency Preparedness Arrangements£7m£6m£9m£9m£9m
Citizen Voice Body–£6m£8m£8m£8m
Food Standards Agency£6m£5m£5m£6m£5m
Support and Delivery of the Animal Health and Welfare Programme/Strategy£1m£1m£1m£2m£2m
Cyllid cyffredinol cynghorau
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Funding Support for Local Government£4.8bn£5.2bn£4.9bn£5.2bn£5.5bn
Local Government General Capital Funding£190m£238m£229m£235m£230m
Early Intervention, Prevention and Support£190m––––
Valuation Services£18m£15m£24m£24m£24m
Fire and Rescue Services and Resilience£17m£9m£7m£6m£8m
Building Local Democracy£3m£3m£5m£5m£5m
Local Government Improvement£2m£1m£1m£3m£3m
Colegau, prifysgolion a sgiliau
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Tertiary Education–––£816m£846m
Post-16 Learner Support£944m£915m£845m£565m£546m
Post-16 Education£641m£635m£599m––
Higher Education£230m£214m£194m––
Apprenticeships£132m£149m£143m£144m£148m
Employment and Skills––––£115m
Employability Including Young Persons Guarantee£111m£118m£104m£114m£2m
Youth Engagement and Employment£19m£21m£19m£19m£18m
Trafnidiaeth
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Road, Rail, Air and Sea Services and Investment£803m£553m£500m£606m£614m
Sustainable Travel£279m£333m£338m£312m£343m
Motorway and Trunk Road Operations£221m£274m£252m£305m£317m
Improve and Maintain Trunk Road Network (Domestic Routes) - Non Cash£213m£203m£195m£189m£185m
Strategic Infrastructure£44m£17m£6m£6m£6m
Improve Road Safety£24m£10m£9m––
Gypsy Traveller Sites£4m£3m£4m£3m£3m
Tai a digartrefedd
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Increase the Supply and Choice of Affordable Housing£374m£409m£378m£442m£442m
Homelessness Prevention£46m£50m£222m£219m£222m
Achieve Quality Housing£244m£217m£208m£205m£207m
Independent Living£218m£209m£28m£36m£36m
Building Safety£94m£151m£137m£132m£132m
Homes and Places–––£102m£102m
Increase the Supply and Choice of Market Housing£11m£72m£76m£83m£81m
Regeneration£37m£61m£44m£32m£40m
Fuel Poverty Programme£39m£42m£41m£1m£1m
Land Division£25m£24m£15m£14m£24m
Housing Revenue Funding£1m£0m£0m£1m£1m
Ysgolion (gwariant uniongyrchol)
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Pre-16 Local Authority Education Grant (LAEG)––£392m£401m£410m
Estate and IT Provision£400m£402m£366m£385m£409m
Education Standards£197m£184m£3m£3m£5m
Pupil Development Grant£167m£153m–––
Wellbeing of children and young people£126m£134m£126m£131m£133m
Teaching and Leadership£62m£58m£31m£35m£35m
Curriculum£38m£39m£15m£24m£26m
Welsh in Education£20m£22m£17m£6m£4m
Estyn£13m£17m£17m£17m£16m
Tackling Barriers to Attainment––£14m£14m£14m
Pupil Engagement£10m£14m£4m£4m£4m
Qualifications£11m£11m£11m£11m£11m

2 llinell lai heb eu dangos

Yr amgylchedd, ffermio a materion gwledig
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Develop and Deliver Overarching Policy, Programmes and Investment in Agriculture, Food and Fisheries––––£404m
CAP administration and making Payments in accordance with EU and WG rules–£282m–––
Basic Payments and Administration––£266m£260m–
CAP administration and making Payments in accordance with EU and WAG rules£290m––––
Sponsor and Manage Delivery Bodies£82m£77m£117m£138m£147m
Rural Investments––£102m£127m–
Develop and Implement Flood and Coastal Risk, Water and Sewage Policy and Legislation£122m£116m£62m£38m£45m
Increase Resource Efficiency and Support Transition to a Circular Economy£87m£102m£82m£78m£73m
Rural Economic and Sustainability Programme£31m£98m–––
Develop and Implement Climate Change Policy, Energy Efficiency, Green Growth and Environmental Protection£46m£55m£77m£41m–
Deliver Nature Conservation and Forestry Policies and Local Environment Improvement£64m£51m£66m£56m£53m
Coal Tip and Reservoir Safety–––£44m£49m

22 llinell lai heb eu dangos

Gofal cymdeithasol a phlant
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Supporting Children£124m£310m£278m£328m£317m
Sustainable Social Services£169m£155m£175m£210m£205m
Integrated Care Fund£68m£65m£63m––
Social Care Wales£29m£27m£26m£26m£26m
Cafcass Cymru£17m£16m£16m£17m£17m
Care Inspectorate Wales£16m£16m£16m£16m£17m
Social Care and Support£8m£6m£5m£5m£5m
Healthcare Inspectorate Wales£5m£5m£5m£6m£6m
Rhedeg y llywodraeth
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Staff Costs£265m£257m£228m£271m£288m
Running Costs£70m£64m£58m£80m£78m
Fiscal Responsibilities£14m£18m£25m£33m£40m
Other Support Services£30m£33m£28m£5m£5m
General Administration£11m£11m£10m––
Delivering the Digital Strategy£6m£5m£4m£4m£7m
Invest to Save£4m£7m£5m£2m–
External Bodies and Services£7m£7m£6m£7m£7m
Commissioners£6m£6m£5m£6m£6m
Procurement Service£6m£6m£6m£6m£5m
Statistics, Information and Research£6m£5m£5m£5m£5m
Resilience and Civil Contingencies–£1m£1m£2m£2m

4 llinell lai heb eu dangos

Yr economi a busnes
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
City and Growth Deals–––£111m£96m
Business Wales / Entrepreneurship and Regional Economy£78m£65m£64m£95m£93m
Economic Infrastructure Development£19m£6m£51m£85m£84m
Promote and Protect Wales' Place in the World£25m£22m£18m£35m£38m
Development Bank of Wales−£22m£11m−£32m–£10m
Innovation£6m£6m£11m£10m£10m
International£10m£9m£8m£9m£9m
Planning and Regulation–––£9m£9m
Science£7m£7m£6m£6m£6m
Development Bank Wales––––£2m
Managing European Funding£2m£2m£2m£2m£2m
Cardiff International Airport–––−£1m−£1m
Diwylliant, chwaraeon a'r Gymraeg
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Support for Culture and the Arts£123m£133m£125m£127m£133m
Welsh Language£29m£28m£28m£42m£45m
Support the Historic Environment£31m£29m£26m£34m£34m
Sports and Physical Activity£34m£33m£29m£33m£34m
Cymunedau a chydraddoldeb
Rhaglen2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27
Supporting Communities£164m£63m£58m£53m£51m
Equality, Inclusion and Human Rights£19m£19m£17m£22m£23m
Community Support and Safety£26m£25m£16m£16m£16m
Advocacy Services£13m£13m£12m£14m£16m
Violence against Women, Domestic Abuse and Sexual Violence£11m£11m£11m£12m£13m
Community Facilities£7m£7m£7m£12m£11m
Support for the Voluntary Sector£8m£8m£9m£10m£10m
Reform and Justice–––£5m£5m
Criminal Justice Delivery–––£1m£1m
Women's Justice and Youth Justice Prints––£1m––
Women's Justice and Youth Justice Blueprints–£1m–––
Female Offending and Youth Justice Blueprints£1m––––

O ble daw'r ffigurau hyn

Daw gwariant 2022-23 i 2025-26 o daenlenni Ymchwil y Senedd o gyllideb derfynol pob blwyddyn, ac o 2026-27 ymlaen o dablau cyllideb derfynol Llywodraeth Cymru, y mae'r wefan yn eu darllen cyn gynted ag y caiff pob cyllideb derfynol newydd ei chyhoeddi. Mae'r ffigurau'n cynnwys gwariant o ddydd i ddydd a buddsoddi gyda'i gilydd. Nid ydynt yn cynnwys gwariant a reolir yn flynyddol, sy'n cwmpasu eitemau sy'n dibynnu ar y galw ac eitemau cyfrifyddu fel benthyciadau myfyrwyr. Daw ffynonellau'r arian o dabl cyllido'r gyllideb derfynol ddiweddaraf.

Mae'r ffigurau mewn termau real yn defnyddio'r rhifyn diweddaraf o ddatchwyddwyr CMC Trysorlys EF. Rhagolygon gan y Swyddfa Cyfrifoldeb Cyllidebol yw datchwyddwyr y flwyddyn bresennol a'r blynyddoedd i ddod.

Mae'r disgrifiad o sut mae'r grant bloc yn gweithio'n dod o gyhoeddiad Tryloywder y Grant Bloc Trysorlys EF ac esboniad cyllideb Llywodraeth Cymru. Grwpio Open Senedd o raglenni'r Llywodraeth yw'r pynciau; symudodd ambell raglen rhwng pynciau pan gawsant eu had-drefnu.

Ffynonellau: y gyllideb derfynol ddiweddaraf, dadansoddiad cyllideb Ymchwil y Senedd, Tryloywder y Grant Bloc, datchwyddwyr CMC.